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President
Bush Addresses the Tax Relief Coalition on the Economy
Today, ATA Chief Economist Bob Costello attended
a Presidential economic briefing to the Tax Relief Coalition,
of which ATA is a member. At the briefing, the President
stated the economy is back on track after enduring a recession,
a terrorist attack, war, and corporate scandals. To that
point, President Bush highlighted that employment has increased
by 1.5 million jobs since August 2003. Consumers and businesses
are confident and spending and investing as a result, the
President noted. Highlighting the importance of his Administration's
tax relief in spurring economic activity, the President
stressed that Congress needs to make that relief permanent,
including permanent elimination of the so-called "death"
tax. The President also called on Congress to pass tort
reform and energy legislation, both of which would help
the economic expansion further.
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Highway Reauthorization
Conference Committee Meeting Scheduled for July 7
Conferees to the highway reauthorization bill have held two meetings and are expected to meet again on July 7. Funding levels continue to be the major challenge to passage of a bill with price tags ranging from the Bush Administration's $256 billion proposal to the House's $278 billion bill and the Senate's $318 billion legislation.
In an effort to move forward conferees have focused their
discussions to date on non-controversial policy issues.
Until an overall funding figure is decided upon, it is likely
that they will continue this practice. With negotiations
currently at a stalemate and TEA-21 set to expire at the
end of June, Congress recently agreed to a one-month extension
of the current transportation law.
ATA has identified 22 legislative priorities within the highway reauthorization debate and continues to follow this issue very closely.
ATA supports the highest funding level available without tax increases. To
see a complete list of these priorities, click here, or
contact Darrin Roth at (703) 838-1900 or droth@trucking.org.
Federal Reserve Raises Interest Rate
to 1.25 Percent
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which is the monetary policy arm of the Federal Reserve, raised a key interest rate at its scheduled meeting on June 30. The FOMC boosted the federal funds rate, the interest rate with which the FOMC implements monetary policy, to 1.25%. The fed funds rate had been at 1.00% for over a year.
The move was widely anticipated as economic activity has
accelerated in recent months. "The evidence accumulated
over the intermeeting period indicates that output is continuing
to expand at a solid pace and labor market conditions have
improved," the FOMC stated. Clearly the trucking industry
is seeing strong freight levels so far this year. Despite
May's decrease in truck tonnage, which was only the second
decrease in the last nine months, through the first five
months of this year compared to the same period in 2003,
tonnage is up a robust 6.4%. This growth is reflective of
the overall economy which is expanding quite well. In spite
of this solid growth, the Fed seems to believe it can be
patient in raising rates going forward. It is important
to remember that the FOMC's primary objective is to fight
inflation. To that specifically, the Committee said, "Although
incoming inflation data are somewhat elevated, a portion
of the increase in recent months appears to have been due
to transitory factors."
ATA believes the Fed will continue down the path of small rate increases in the quarters ahead. The fed funds futures market currently has a 100% probability of another quarter-point increase at the next FOMC meeting later this summer. "With underlying inflation still expected to be relatively low, the Committee believes that policy accommodation can be removed at a pace that is likely to be measured," the group stated. In other words, several small steps over the next year or so, but definitely going upward. Nevertheless, the FOMC did add language to the statement that essentially says if they get it wrong, and inflation starts accelerating, they will move more aggressively. The next FOMC meeting is August 10th. For more information, contact Bob Costello at 703.838.1799 or bcostello@trucking.org.
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Department of Commerce
U.S. - Mexico Talks on NAFTA Compliance,
Jobs and Product Demand
On Monday, June 28, U.S. Secretary of Commerce Don Evans
met with Mexican Foreign Relations Secretary Luis Ernesto
Derbez and Mexican Secretary of Economy Fernando Canales
to discuss job creation and increased product demand in
Mexico and the United States. One topic of discussion was
the Bush administration's commitment to ensure compliance
with NAFTA and to identify and resolve obstacles encountered
by U.S. businesses trying to access Mexican markets. Evans
discussed ways to improve protection of intellectual property
rights, regulatory transparency and the elimination of non-tariff
trade barriers. In his meetings, Evans also emphasized the
need to address these problems now in order to strengthen
the trade relationship. Evans pointed out that delay only
offered temporary benefits that would prevent workers and
businesses in both countries from realizing the full benefits
of an open and transparent trading relationship. "Mexico
and the United States share more than a border. Each day,
thousands of our citizens cross the border and share trade,
culture and close family ties," Evans said. "It is because
of this link that both the United States and Mexico have
grown in recent years. This relationship represents a strategic
alliance that is critical to strengthening the economic
position of both countries in the global marketplace. By
continuing to work together, we can achieve greater prosperity
and greater opportunity." For more information, please contact
ATA's Office of Safety, Security and Operations at (703)
838-7950. To view the complete Department of Commerce press
release, click
here.
Department of Transportation
FMCSA Issues Final Rule on
HAZMAT Permits
The Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration (FMCSA)
published in the Federal Register of June 30, 2004 a rule
finalizing the new federal safety permit for transporting
certain highly hazardous materials. Motor carriers transporting
specified radioactive materials, explosives, toxic-by-inhalation
substances, and liquefied natural gas above the listed threshold
quantities must comply with the new permit requirements
by January 1, 2005. Trucking companies transporting these
hazardous materials must have a "satisfactory" safety rating,
acceptable crash and out-of- service rates, trucks with
communication equipment, a compliant security plan, and
a driver security training program as well as meet other
particular operational conditions. Motor carriers seeking
the new permit must apply on Form MCS-150B. To review a
copy of the rule,
click here. For information, ATA members can
contact Rich Moskowitz at 703-838-1910 or rmoskowitz@trucking.org
or otherwise, contact your representative state trucking
association.
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The Senate returns Tuesday from its weeklong July Fourth recess and is expected to spend much of next week working through class action legislation which is expected to pass the chamber.
One of the biggest floor fights probably will come on minimum wage provisions that Sen. Edward Kennedy, D-Mass., is expected to push as an amendment to the bill. The Senate may also take up the FY05 Homeland Security spending bill late in the week if the class action bill is completed.
The House returns Tuesday for votes on a series of suspension bills. On Wednesday and Thursday, the House is expected to consider the FY05 Commerce-Justice-State and Legislative Branch spending bills.
The House resumes the GOP's "Careers for a 21st Century America" jobs agenda after a two-week pause following the death of former President Reagan and a hectic legislative period prior to the July Fourth recess.
This week's theme involves "research, development and innovation" and will focus on technological innovation and incentives.
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